Christian Conservative Christian "Independent"

I'm an evangelical Christian, member of the CPC, but presently & unjustly exiled to wander the political wilderness.
All opinions expressed here are solely my own.

Sunday, June 06, 2010

Tory poll numbers about to surge

Iffy flip-flops again, now willing to lead a Lib-NDP coalition.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ignatieff-willing-to-lead-coalition-but-talk-of-merger-with-ndp-is-absurd/article1593791/

Sent from my Blackberry

posted by Christian Conservative @ 11:27 a.m.  

10 Comments:

  • At Sun Jun 06, 01:15:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Tory poll numbers about to surge

    wanna bet?

     

  • At Sun Jun 06, 01:19:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    the Liberal leader says it would be disrespectful to voters and damaging to his party to try to strike any deals with the NDP before voters have spoken.

    In an exclusive interview with The Canadian Press, Ignatieff dismissed talk of a merger or any sort of election non-compete agreement with the NDP as "absurd."

    I think your prediction is a little silly. Funny, though.

     

  • At Sun Jun 06, 01:34:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger Christian Conservative said…

    Just you wait and see... Three to four point bump is my prediction, with at least a one or two point Liberal slide. NDP will get an uptick too. Polls will show this in 10-12 days.

     

  • At Sun Jun 06, 01:38:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger Christian Conservative said…

    Just to be clear... I expect to see the Libs down to 25-26, Tories at 36-37, and NDP at 17-18.

     

  • At Sun Jun 06, 03:36:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous byng said…

    the competence with which the Tories have been running the government, coupled with the exceptional non-stop bleating by the blowhard opposition, may prove you to be true - one certainly hopes so

     

  • At Mon Jun 07, 01:23:00 a.m. EDT, Blogger Anon1152 said…

    I too am suspicious of the "surge" you predict. But I know you have more experience with the nitty-gritty/campaign aspects of politics than I do. I won't "bet" against you.

    Ignatieff has "flip flopped" before. It's not new. I'm not sure if he has "flip flopped" as much as Harper. I know you know that I could go into details... and I [hope you know I] know that you won't be convinced.

    Whatever Harper's position is, he is able to act as if that has been his position all along. For me, that makes me trust him much less than I would otherwise. But I am perennially indecisive. (And while politicians do like to go for undecided voters, they don't generally court "the undecided vote").

    Though Ignatieff could perhaps benefit from... more... conviction.

    I have read the article you linked to though... and I don't think it makes him look that "flip floppy".

    Question: how often do coalition governments form after the candidates/parties run as a coalition? If I recall, the only person publicly willing to form a coalition government during the British election was... Gordon Brown.

    (I'm too tired to double check this, so if I'm wrong, please let me know...)

    Did you see something else recently posted on the Globe and Mail website? : http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/silver-powers/harper-suggests-israels-government-is-illegitimate-oops/article1593926/

    I'm glad someone pointed that out.

    Let me ask you: Do you think Harper would say that Netanyahu leads "a coalition of losers", or that he is not or should not be the Israeli PM?

     

  • At Mon Jun 07, 01:46:00 a.m. EDT, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    "Just to be clear... I expect to see the Libs down to 25-26, Tories at 36-37, and NDP at 17-18."

    That's pretty much where a number of polls have been recently. The increase in Green support between elections colours things a bit, but that poll would hardly "surge" for the Conservatives.

    More importantly those numbers are also pretty much exactly the same as the last election. If that's all the coalition boogie man can do, then it's lost its juice.

     

  • At Mon Jun 07, 01:04:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger Anon1152 said…

    "The increase in Green support between elections colours things a bit"

    Pun intended?

     

  • At Fri Jun 11, 10:48:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger Christian Conservative said…

    Okay, two days to go, and I'm just one point off on each of my numbers...

    "If an election were held tomorrow, the Conservatives would remain steady at 35 per cent of the vote, with the Liberals falling two points to 27 per cent and NDP support staying put at 16 per cent."

    If you recall, I said Lib 25-26, CPC 36-37, and Dippers at 17-18.

     

  • At Sun Jun 13, 07:48:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger Anon1152 said…

    You said the other day: "Tory poll numbers set to surge".

    Yet you quote something saying "Conservatives would remains steady at 25 per cent of the vote"

    I think you're confusing Liberal numbers dropping with Tory numbers rising.

    Other recent polls show the Conservatives dropping:

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ottawa-notebook/conservatives-would-lose-23-seats-in-election-poll/article1599088/?cid=art-rail-bureaublog

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ottawa-notebook/conservative-poll-lead-slips-as-voters-gently-recoil/article1598900/

     

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