Christian Conservative Christian "Independent"

I'm an evangelical Christian, member of the CPC, but presently & unjustly exiled to wander the political wilderness.
All opinions expressed here are solely my own.

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Add another riding to the CPC's WIN column

Reform turned Liberal MP Keith Martin has announced that he won't be running in the next election.

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posted by Christian Conservative @ 2:22 p.m.  

11 Comments:

  • At Tue Nov 09, 03:00:00 p.m. EST, Blogger West Coast Teddi said…

    Very interesting - it was Keith and not his party (any party) that held sway with the voters. The riding is a pocket within the "socialist hordes" that is known as Victoria so it will be very difficult to win by the CPC.

    I suspect he will go back to practising medicine for a living and make some money ... OR ... run for the Liberal leadership in BC (say Campbell anyone??)

     

  • At Tue Nov 09, 03:01:00 p.m. EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    So what's your seat projection up to now?

     

  • At Tue Nov 09, 03:30:00 p.m. EST, Blogger Christian Conservative said…

    If the Liberals keep going the way they have been, maybe even 160...

     

  • At Tue Nov 09, 03:45:00 p.m. EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    I'll give you 135. Let's see who's closer.

     

  • At Tue Nov 09, 07:23:00 p.m. EST, Blogger Top Can said…

    I'm guessing with Martin's departure, this riding becomes a tossup between the Conservatives and the NDP. Is the CPC candidate, Troy DeSouza, running again?

     

  • At Tue Nov 09, 07:29:00 p.m. EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Anon @ 3:45

    Weak polling numbers for Ignatieff Liberals, low Liberal voter turnout, incumbency advantage for CPC MP's, and steady support for the Harper government means that the Conservative would probably keep their 145 seats and potentially make gains. Canadians are in an appetite for a majority government after 6 years of minority rule, and it's the Conservative who would benefit from that.

     

  • At Wed Nov 10, 10:50:00 a.m. EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    And yet, Nanos gives Harper the lowest best PM score since he took office. People will remember, the last EKOS saw the lowest direction of government score "in a decade".

    So I think 145+ is a fantasy.

     

  • At Wed Nov 10, 11:37:00 a.m. EST, Blogger Christian Conservative said…

    And your momma wears army boots. (that's just my way of saying, "I don't care what Steve Valeriote says", and we'll just have to wait and see what the ballot boxes say next time around)

     

  • At Thu Nov 11, 01:16:00 p.m. EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Would you believe 115?

    http://threehundredeight.blogspot.com/2010/11/conservatives-and-liberal-below-30-in.html

     

  • At Mon Nov 22, 03:51:00 p.m. EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Polls don't matter. Elections do.

    Polls are hardly scientific if they don't even go by individual electoral ridings.

    Conservatives will win a majority and will gain plenty more seats than what they "may" lose.

    The leftwing parties are in lalaland.
    They will feel the brunt of any anti-incumbent movements.

    Anon @ 07:29:00 PM Est, Nov 09, has it right. I've drawn the same conclusion (without the needs of "polls") through a great deal of variables that actually happen to matter in real time rather than that of simplistic statistics.

    The "magic 1000 person number" used in polls isn't enough to realistically project anything accurately if they simply stick to random pluckings out of regional populations. It all means nothing if its not based on the individual ridings. Since regions don't vote as they are broken up along those lines.

    Pollsters as they currently are, exist mostly for the sake of pundits to spin. General "moods" and snap shots don't mean much in the grand scheme of things. Nor between elections.

     

  • At Mon Nov 22, 06:12:00 p.m. EST, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Funny how the meaningless tug-of-war in the polls over these historical years were the choice has never been more clearer on which party should be in office and which ones clearly shouldn't.

    Why would people care so much about the "balance of power" that they would give majorities to lying Liberals of ontario but not to the Conservatives federally.

    People seem to be only "afraid" of majorities when it means less government? but seem to put up with everything when it's a "majority" for more government no matter how bad?

    The CPC is not the blue flavour of police state socialism, so there's no substance to the blind fear.
    Rather through conservative-ish-libertian-ish free market capitalism it is possible to get peace through prosperity.

    So with that in mind, how is a conservative majority such a big threat that they can't break ahead in the polls? It's not rational.

    Given all the other triumphs over mud slinging, false controversies and fake scandals, it doesn't add up that the CPC should lose more than they would gain.

    Whats more, is that not even the half of it. The CPC is the only federal party to have actually reasons to be vote for. Actually polices that are worthwhile and work. Having a majority should make them less timid over democratic stability (i.e the coalition), reserved yes, but less limited to only incrementalism in terms of economic reforms/cuts.

     

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